Graduate Seminar Report On Weak Derivatives And Sobolev Spaces

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Ethiopian Airlines is a profit-oriented business organization whose objective is to providernthe maximum value to its customers, consistent with the need to make some return on eachrntransaction. One of the major primary activity at the airline is Sales. In addition, becausernconU11erci al organizations only survive by identifying and satisfying the market, MarketingrnServices is also regarded as a major primary activity.rnThis study focuses on the revenue process within the Sales and Marketing operation. Inrnparticular, it aims at understanding the critical business functions and processes involvedrnin the flight revenue process, to identify and assess the avai labi lity of revenue datarnelements and develop a model for Ethiopian Airlines that wi ll support information onrnrevenue realized by flight and forecast revenue by flight; accurately and timely.rnEthiopian Airlines has numerous state-of-the-art application systems and as a result retainsrna vast amount of data in its different databases. However, it has fai led to make good use ofrnthis data and has not been ab le to lise it to create competitive advantage. As a result, thernrevenue information model has been developed using data mining techniques. Inrnparticular, the neural network model was used to train, test, validate and develop thernprototype model. The ultim ate objective being to find out the suitability of data miningrnapplications to the Ethiopian Airl ines problem.Since the scope of the study is limited to a single organization, the major method that hasrnbeen used to assess revenue information needs of users is case study; implementedrnthrough interv iews (planned discussion), questionnaires, observation and documentrnanalysis.rnAfter reviewing the various areas that are affected by the Sales and Marketing operation;rnSales, Scheduling, Pricing, Revenue Management and Airport Operations have beenrnidentified as the critical functions in the revenue process. As a result the foc us of the studyrnhas been on these functions.rnSurvey results reveal that of the 5 most important infonn ation required by the concernedrnairline managers, revenue related information ranks on top with 31 % of respondentsrnranking it first. In addition, 84% of respondents rate fl ight revenue information as eitherrnone of the most or the most critical infOim ation, 88% as either very or extremely strategic,rnand 94% as one that would provide opportunity to gain competitive advantage.rnThe major revenue related data elements identified during the study are advanced bookingrndata, post departure data, schedule data, and revenue data. These revenue related datarnelements are available within the existing system, but are scattered in the variousrnapplication systems. Over one year's historic advance booking data is available, over twornyears' post-departure data is avail able, and historical fl ight revenue data since April, 1997rnis available.After selecting a suitable software to build a revenue information model, the revenuernrelated data elements identified were collected for 8 flights and a comprehensive testingrnwas conducted. The test included 6 different experiments using the back propagationrnnetwork and radial basis fll11ction neural network models, 3 different sets of independentrnvariab les and a multitude of trai ning parameters. The experiments produced 327 differentrnmodels which were compared and evaluated and finally one was selected to represent thernrevenue information model. The developed model, with an average of33-37% error rate, isrnonly a preliminary or initial step towards, hopefully, more detailed work in this area.rnI am confident that through a selection of more fields and with more hi storical data, thernerror may be able to be reduced to users' requirement of 5-10%. It is, therefore, my beliefrnthat this research has some contribution to further research in this area. It has been ab le tornsuccessfully demonstrate that data mining applications can be an alternative approach tornbuild information systems; especially for complex problems having vast amount of datarnand high interaction among non linear variables. Others can pursue similar research usingrndifferent types of data mining applications, including other neural network models. I hopernthat some of the problems I encountered and the methodologies I used will help to shedrnlight and guide others undertaking similar studies.

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Graduate Seminar Report On Weak Derivatives And Sobolev Spaces

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